Jokers to the Right.com: January 2008

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Pinstripe Politics: Primary Thoughts

Half of Giuliani’s argument as to why he should be the nominee was because he was the only one who could win in the general election; he could make blue states red again. That argument proved weak, and I’m glad.

I vote 6 days from today. If I had to pick between Romney and McCain, I don’t know what I’d do. I’m voting for Huckabee.

Romney makes me angry. He can’t change every major position to run for president and buy the Republican party. McCain’s campaign finance reform is bothersome.

John Edwards has dropped out of the race, I wonder how much the $400 haircut stories hurt him. If I were him, I’d want to be the VP nominee for Clinton.

If Obama (change) beats Clinton (experience) in the primary, won’t the general election be that same battle all over again between Obama and McCain?

I think it’s pretty cool that the Republican race went full circle back to McCain.

Huckabee and McCain have proven to me that nothing is impossible in politics. McCain, declared dead, only to become the presumptive Republican nominee. Huckabee questioned as to why he would even run for president last year, to becoming what looks like the 3rd place finisher, ahead of two of the “front-runners.”

Looking forward to the one-on-one debate in Hollywood between Clinton and Obama. Not too excited to hear from Ron Paul again.

Disappointed that no candidate is running a nationwide Super Bowl ad. If I were Huckabee’s campaign manager this is what I would have done: Since, the money is running dry, I’d pay $3 million for one ad to be run during the game. Huckabee’s humor has gotten him far, I’d use it once more to create a funny, issue based ad. This will get tremendous coverage the day after the Super Bowl and hopefully it would lead to a bump in his poll numbers. (The reason I picked Huckabee is because he is the only candidate that needs to take a big risk).

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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

State of My Paper

Yeah, I missed the State of the Union last night. Right now, ten page papers take precedent. If suddenly inspired, I'll have something up tonight, but don't count on it.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Some UD Students Weigh in on Abortion

This video at MTV about Delaware and abortion includes some of my good friends. Check it out:


While I agree with their points, I sometimes worry that videos like this oversimplify a truly complicated issue.

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Pinstripe Politics: Bill Clinton Makes Me Sick

Not that I hold Bill Clinton in high regard or anything, but the way he is acting on the campaign trail is absolutely disgusting. It's one thing to attack a candidate on the issues (or even his moral character, ahem, Monica Lewinsky) but it's completely something else to portray someone else as the 'black candidate' in the hopes that it will marginalize him.
Said Bill Clinton today in Columbia, SC: "Jesse Jackson won South Carolina in '84 and '88. Jackson ran a good campaign. And Obama ran a good campaign here."
This was in response to a question about Obama saying it "took two people to beat him." Jackson had not been mentioned.
Boy, I can't understand why anyone would think the Clintons are running a race-baiting campaign to paint Obama as "the black candidate."

Democrats, how can you put up with this guy anymore?

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Friday, January 25, 2008

Hero/Hack

My hero this week is French President Nicolas Sarkozy:
France is planning to freeze public spending for five years under its biggest programme of social and economic reform since the late 1960s, according to François Fillon, the prime minister.

In an interview with the Financial Times, his first with a foreign newspaper since being appointed by President Nicolas Sarkozy in May last year, Mr Fillon signalled his intention to get serious about restoring French public finances to health.

Mr Fillon will today take his message that France is “changing profoundly” to the World Economic Forum in Davos, the first time a French prime minister has addressed the gathering in more than 25 years.

He told the FT: “The idea is straightforward: we want to freeze public spending for five years.”

The government has said it wants to eliminate its deficit and reduce spending as a share of national output – the highest in the EU at 53.5 per cent – during Mr Sarkozy’s first five-year term, but it has said little about how, to the frustration of its eurozone partners. It has also avoided any hint of austerity measures.
Heritage points out that the GOP should be taking a lesson from France. Not sure I'd ever have expected to say that!

My hacks this week are the Republican presidential frontrunners. Rather than vying for my support, they're just blathering on about how much they hate Hillary Clinton. Please, in the words of Chris Matthews, "tell me something I don't know!"

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Thursday, January 24, 2008

Saddam Lied, People Died

Which world leader lied, triggering a U.S. invasion of Iraq? Saddam Hussein.
CBS:
Saddam Hussein initially didn't think the U.S. would invade Iraq to destroy weapons of mass destruction, so he kept the fact that he had none a secret to prevent an Iranian invasion he believed could happen. The Iraqi dictator revealed this thinking to George Piro, the FBI agent assigned to interrogate him after his capture.

Piro spent almost seven months debriefing Saddam in a plan based on winning his confidence by convincing him that Piro was an important envoy who answered to President Bush. This and being Saddam's sole provider of items like writing materials and toiletries made the toppled Iraqi president open up to Piro, a Lebanese-American and one of the few FBI agents who spoke Arabic.

"He told me he initially miscalculated... President Bush’s intentions. He thought the United States would retaliate with the same type of attack as we did in 1998...a four-day aerial attack," says Piro. "He survived that one and he was willing to accept that type of attack." "He didn't believe the U.S. would invade?" asks Pelley, "No, not initially," answers Piro.

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Comic Book Rock

So based on Hube's comment about my KT Tunstall post, here's a list of songs that reference comic books. To thin the field (and get some not-as-well-known songs on there, perhaps) I elected to ignore any songs directly related to a comic book film or tv show. Enjoy, and let me know what I've forgotten in the comments!

"Magneto and the Titanium Man" by Wings references three villains, the two titular ones and the Iron Man foe Crimson Dynamo. In the song, the three super villains try to convince the singer/narrator that a woman police officer trying to halt a bank robbery (which he is apparently in love with) is in fact the bank robber herself.

Paul wasn't the only Beatle to pen a superhero song. John Lennon had one on the White Album, "The Continuing Story of Bungalow Bill." Specifically the line "So Captain Marvel zapped him right between the eyes." There are two Captain Marvels, one in DC and one in Marvel comics, but I always picture the DC version, who uses lightning frequently. Of course, it could be my DC-bias coming into play. As for other single-line references, one of my favorite bands, Weezer, mentions both Kitty Pride and Nightcrawler in their song "In the Garage." Barenaked Ladies mention Aquaman in their song "One Week."

One interesting case is the Black Sabbath song "Iron Man," which I never thought was about the superhero, but it certainly is now. According to Wikipedia, the current retcon of Iron Man's origin states that the song was the source of Iron Man's name. Apparently, Tony Stark is an Ozzy fan.

JttR favorites The Kinks have two pretty direct comic book songs, "Catch Me Now I'm Falling," which uses the currently-deceased Captain America as an allegory for the differences in the Marshall Plan and the 1970s Oil Crisis:
I remember, when you were down
And you needed a helping hand
I came to feed you
But now that I need you
You wont give me a second glance
Now I'm calling all citizens from all over the world
This is Captain America calling
I bailed you out when you were down on your knees
So will you catch me now I'm falling
The other song is "(Wish I Could Fly Like) Superman," which hits a common theme, wishing one were a superhero to make everyday life easier. This brings us to the big one, Superman. I think more songs have been written about Superman than any other comic book character, so I'm only going to mention the best.

"Superman (It's Not Easy)" by Five for Fighting, and "Kryptonite" by 3 Doors Down are two hits from early this decade about Kal-El, while the Spin Doctors "Jimmy Olsen's Blues" (in which Superman's Pal is competing for Superman's Gal) and Crash Test Dummies "Superman's Song" are two solid efforts from the 90s.

An entry from the R&B genre is Brian McKnight's song "Superhero," worthy of mention becuase of the lyrics "Kal-El/Son of Jor-El/All my secrets/You can never tell/And you know why/I can fly."

One of my favorites reaches all the way back to 1966, Donovan's "Sunshine Superman." In the song, the singer boats that "Superman or Green Lantern ain't got a-nothin' on me."

I'm sure there are more that I'm overlooking, but there's eleven songs to jump start a great playlist!

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Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Pinstripe Politics: Huckabee = Reagan?

I read this piece yesterday by Rep. John Linder of Georgia, co-author of The FairTax Book, and an endorser of Mike Huckabee. I found it interesting, but not overly persuasive:

When you look at the many fine candidates seeking the Republican nomination for president, who do you believe can best speak to those Reagan Democrats? I believe that candidate is Mike Huckabee. When Reagan became president, one of his first moves was to reduce income taxes from 70 percent to 50 percent and ultimately down to 28 percent. As pointed out above, both the size of the economy and the federal revenues doubled in eight years.

Huckabee doesn't want to lower income taxes. He wants to abolish them - along with the IRS, the most intrusive, coercive and corrosive federal agency ever. Mike would replace those taxes on income with a sales tax - the FairTax. Every American will become a voluntary taxpayer paying taxes when you choose, as much as you choose, by how you choose to spend. How conservative can one get?

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Monday, January 21, 2008

Another Reason to Be a KT Tunstall Fan

Not only was she #6 on my Top Ten of 2007, but the girl (woman?) loves comics!

An excerpt from an interview with comic book news website Newsarama:

NRAMA:But you mentioned that comic books influenced your latest LP on The Today Show and we have this wonderful quote on the X-Men.

KT: Well, the artwork on my album is kind of less about superheroes and more about characters. Super human and superhero are two different things to me. I’m a big Frank Miller fan. A lot of his characters are superhuman—they can jump from the top of a building and land unhurt in a street full of garbage—but not necessarily superheroes. Also, little Miho can take out ten men and not even break a nail. All the same, they are people.

. . .

KT: Definitely. The reason for my comment on the X-Men and this latest album is life has become super-intensified for me. You meet people like Jack White or Elton John, Annie Lennox and you think these actually are real people. Yet they seem like these extraordinary characters out of comics.

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Sunday, January 20, 2008

Hero/Hack: Special Primary Edition

I decided to hold off on hero/hack until I saw the results of yesterday's primaries, thinking I'd get something juicy out of it. I got a lot of hackish things, but not so much on heroics.

That means this week's hero is Delaware's own Dave Burris! After Alan Levin stiffed the DEGOP on running for governor, Dave decided to at least test the waters. Dave's a great guy, and running for state office without any prior electoral experience (as a candidate) is either heroic, insane, or stupid. Here's hoping it's a combination of the first two!

My hack this week is Bill Clinton, alleging voter suppression towards a union in Nevada. It's really hackish move, even after "winning"(Obama got more delegates!), and Bill also says he "personally witnessed" it...because he's that trustworthy. Sheesh.

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Thursday, January 17, 2008

The Bill & Ted Meme

So last night I watched Bill & Ted's Excellent Adventure. It's a great film (probably the best film ever in terms of demonstrating single-timeline time travel), and one of those which I forget just how good it is between viewings.



Anyway, on to the meme portion of this post. In the movie, Bill and Ted bring back eight historical figures for their history report. They are, Billy the Kid, Socrates, Napoleon, Abraham Lincoln, Dr. Sigmund Freud, Genghis Khan, Joan of Arc, and Ludwig von Beethoven.
Which eight other historical figures would you bring back? Then tag five people, because it's the typical number for these things.

My List:
1. Plato
2. Julius Caesar
3. St. Augustine of Hippo
4. Charlemagne
5. Isaac Newton
6. Winston Churchill
7. Ben Franklin
8. Andrew Jackson

Because they seem likely to answer, I'm going to tag Anna Venger, Hube, Paul, Miss AO, and Jeff.

For those of you without blogs, feel free to answer in the comments. Or, answer on your own log and link back here.

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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

What Makes a Good Candidate?

One of the things that has been going around this election season thus far are "Candidate Match" quizzes. They work like this: you answer some questions about your own positions and it matches you with the candidate(s) whose positions match yours best. Lots of websites have them, and I've taken a few with varying results of everyone from Joe Biden to Duncan Hunter to John McCain (who at one time, was my archnemesis). The best one I've seen/played with is USA Today's, surprisingly.

The results for me depend a lot on the wording of the questions. My policy beliefs are very specific, as well as varied, and so in supporting any candidate, I'd probably be compromising on something somewhere. Not a big deal really, as I don't have much of a choice. The only person with whom I've ever agreed 100% is me, and even I don't always agree with myself over time (see above, even. I'm still not sold on McCain, but I'm not as angry about it).

So for me, these candidate "Dating" games aren't really all that conclusive. While you can adjust them for your priorities, they aren't adjusted for the candidates'. For example, say believe that Mitt Romney has the best position among Republicans on the environment. While he may mention it from time to time, it really is impossible to tell how much emphasis he would put on that issue if elected.

The other thing they can not bring into play is character. Though I disagree with him on many policy issues, I believe John McCain to be of excellent character. Character isn't measurable, can't be answered on a questionnaire, or otherwise distilled. About a year ago, I saw every Republican candidate for president (except John McCain, who declined to come, and Fred Thompson, who wasn't running yet) speak in person. And while character is not easily discerned through canned speeches, being in the same room with someone can often just give you a sense of who they are.

I value honesty and integrity in my presidential candidates to a degree that is about equal to their policy positions. That's why I like Mike Huckabee and Duncan Hunter, and am cold on Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani. I may be able to support them if they get the nomination, but I'll have to make that decision then, not now.

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2008 Watch: Romney is GOP Frontrunner?

Mitt Romney won in Michigan, in a primary that shouldn't have happened this early. I guess that makes the RomneyTron3000 the frontrunner, doesn't it?



I'm not really a fan, if you couldn't have guessed. He just seems too..thought-out. Cold, calculating, perhaps. And I don't think he articulates a vision very well. More of a set of policies than an overarching theme that connects everything together. Meh. I hope he's not the GOP nominee.

Also, I have a hunch that Mitt Romney may be the leader of the inevitable Robot Uprising. Just a hunch, of course.

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Sunday, January 13, 2008

Spin Me Right Round


All hail the resurgence of records!

A trend has to be huge for TIME to notice:

From college dorm rooms to high school sleepovers, an all-but-extinct music medium has been showing up lately. And we don't mean CDs. Vinyl records, especially the full-length LPs that helped define the golden era of rock in the 1960s and '70s, are suddenly cool again. Some of the new fans are baby boomers nostalgic for their youth. But to the surprise and delight of music executives, increasing numbers of the iPod generation are also purchasing turntables (or dusting off Dad's), buying long-playing vinyl records and giving them a spin.

Like the comeback of Puma sneakers or vintage T shirts, vinyl's resurgence has benefited from its retro-rock aura. Many young listeners discovered LPs after they rifled through their parents' collections looking for oldies and found that they liked the warmer sound quality of records, the more elaborate album covers and liner notes that come with them, and the experience of putting one on and sharing it with friends, as opposed to plugging in some earbuds and listening alone.
At at glance, I think I have about 100 records or so in my dorm room. A lot of records also come with codes to download the digital files now, which is really the ideal way I'd like to acquire music, analog and digital. A lot of people seem to think that this is a rebellion against poor-quality mp3 files, I don't think so. I encode into Apple's AAC format at 192 kps, at which I can almost not tell the difference between that and the CDs. If people were producing better quality digital tracks, it wouldn't be an issue. A bigger problem is the "loudness" in CD mixing today. Read this fascinating article from the last Rolling Stone.

For example, the "loudest" Led Zeppelin album? Mothership, the remastered 2007 compliation.

Sometimes I think the music industry is killing itself loudly.

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Friday, January 11, 2008

Hero/Hack: 2008 Primaries, Part 37

Slightly different format, as I'm just going to go through snippets of 2008 election stuff. Enjoy!

My heroes this week are Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson. They are the only two Republicans I really feel like supporting at this moment at this time, and they both had stellar debate performances last night, by many accounts.

My hacks this week are Dennis Kucinich, Hillary Clinton, and Fox News/Ron Paul.

Kucinich
is calling for a recount in New Hampshire. He won 2% of the vote. At least, according to law, he's have to pay for the recount.

Hillary had the worst quote of the week: "No woman is illegal," in reference to illegal immigrants. What does that even mean?

I agree with Chuck Todd. I'm all for diversity in the debates, but it is time for Ron Paul to gracefully exit. Were there only three candidates, or if Paul were a serious contender to win any state, I'd have no problem with it. However, we have 5 candidates (Romney, Huckabee, McCain, Thompson, and Rudy) each with the potential to win a state by or on February 5th. He's now a distraction to more important things.

This week's 2008 "What the...?" John McCain is the GOP frontrunner. Who saw that coming? I sure as hell didn't.

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Thursday, January 10, 2008

Neat

Thanks to my travel-happy friends, I currently know at least one person on each continent except South America (but including Antarctica!).

Locations include:
India
France
Australia/New Zealand
Tunisia
Antarctica

Pretty cool, huh?

McCain & Lieberman: The Surge Worked

WSJ:

It was exactly one year ago tonight, in a televised address to the nation, that President George W. Bush announced his fateful decision to change course in Iraq, and to send five additional U.S. combat brigades there as part of a new counterinsurgency strategy and under the command of a new general, David Petraeus.

At the time of its announcement, the so-called surge was met with deep skepticism by many Americans -- and understandably so.

- * - * -

The question we face, on the first anniversary of the surge, is no longer whether the president's decision a year ago was the right one, or if the counterinsurgency strategy developed by Gen. Petraeus is working. It is.

The question now is where we go from here to sustain the progress we have achieved -- and in particular, how soon can more of our troops come home, based on the success of the surge.

- * - * -

If the mismanagement of the Iraq war from 2003 to 2006 exposed our government's capacity for incompetence, Gen. Petraeus' leadership this past year, and the conduct of the troops under his command, have reminded us of our capacity for the wisdom, the courage and the leadership that has always rallied our nation to greatness.

As Americans, we have repeatedly done what others said was impossible. Gen. Petraeus and his troops are doing that again in Iraq today.

I think McCain and Lieberman would agree with me on this one.

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Wednesday, January 09, 2008

New Hampshire: One Day Later

So what happened? Everyone, including yours truly, was expecting an Obama sweep, but instead Hillary took the delegates. Mike McKain (in the comments to this post) suggests that "the independents assumed Obama was safe and decided to help out McCain." It's a theory others have suggested as well. However, Jim Hu suggests otherwise:
No one is talking about how the polls actually nailed Obama's number. Obama didn't lose this election. He stayed steady and Hillary surged ahead."
So apparently Hillary won the undecideds...I have no idea why.

I thought McCain was going to win yesterday, but not by as much as he did.

On to Michigan!

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Tuesday, January 08, 2008

Meet the Democratic Nominee?




Yup, that's Barack Obama, who I think is well on his way to becoming the Democratic nominee. If he wins New Hampshire today, he'll get the "Big Mo," he momentum to push him far and away from his competitors. The media is already running the line that it's his date with destiny, and Democratic primary voters seem unlikely to deny him that opportunity.

He's ahead in South Carolina, but Clinton still holds a tight grip on a lot of the Tsunami Tuesday states. It will be interesting to see how February 5th plays out, but in the mean time, I'd like to consider what an Obama candidacy would mean.

First, I think it would be a positive step for race relations in this country, not because Obama is black, but because he is not tied to the black establishment. Colin Powell seems to share this sentiment:
"He is putting himself forward not as a black man but as an American man who wants to be president of the United States of America. We should see Barack as a candidate for president who happens to be black, and not a black candidate for president."


I also think he's the Democrats' best shot to win in November.

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Thursday, January 03, 2008

Pinstripe Politics: Live-Blogging the Iowa Caucus

10:20 EST: That's all for me tonight. For most of the candidates it's on to New Hampshire, for some, its time to go home, and for me, it's time for vacation. I'll be back in a week and a half.

Tonight belongs to:

Obama for America

And

http://drummernamedpat.files.wordpress.com/2007/09/huckabee6.JPG


10:10 EST: Getting ahead of myself just a little bit , here is how a Huckabee administration might work, should he win the Presidency (interview with RealClearPolitics.com on September 25, 2007):

If you're going to try to sell things, you have to do two things: One, build relationships with the reasonable, responsible people that will work with you, and when they do work with you, go out of your way to extol their efforts as true statesmanship. In other words, don't hog all the credit for what success has happened. The second thing is, you have to make your case directly to the people. And when you can't sell your program to a partisan legislative body, you sell it to their bosses; you go out and sell it to the people… not just to people of your own party, but to people who aren't in your party, to the constituencies that don't normally support you.

Side Note: As Governor, Mike Huckabee wrote his own speeches, except for speeches outlining policy.

10:00 EST: Huckabee and Obama have First-Class plane tickets out of Iowa. We know where Romney is sitting, but who's sitting in coach? McCain or Thompson? For the Democrats, is it Clinton or Edwards? I'm hoping Edwards...

9:48 EST: Congratulations to Chris Dodd who has won exactly 1 precinct... so far.

9:45 EST: Inspirational Politics Takes the Day! Mike Huckabee, of Hope, Arkansas, and Barack Obama, author of The Audacity of Hope, have each won their party's caucus in Iowa.

Hope is an intoxicating idea. It empowers people the way that nothing else can and that is precisely why each has won. Each has been able to find the new "Uniter, not a Divider" phrase.

Here is Barack Obama:




America is a land of big dreamers and big hopes. It is this hope that has sustained us through revolution and civil war, depression and world war, a struggle for civil and social rights and the brink of nuclear crisis. And it is because our dreamers dreamed that we have emerged from each challenge more united, more prosperous, and more admired than before.
Here is Mike Huckabee:




"Ultimately, people don't care whether an issue comes from the left or the right, what they want to talk about are ideas that lift America up and make us better. It's what I call vertical politics."


9:30 EST: Within seconds of each other, CNN and Fox News (CNN first) have projected that Barack Obama has won the Iowa Caucuses.

9:18 EST: All we have left in Iowa are two victory speeches, several concession speeches (maybe a Howard Dean-esque speech!?), and a projected Democrat winner. In a couple of hours, Iowa will no longer matter for another 4 years.

9:10 EST: Thank You, Haskell Jones! 10 months ago Mike Huckabee, the Republican winner of the Iowa Caucus spoke to a bunch of conservative activists in Washington D.C. This is what he said, in an oft-overlooked speech:







My becoming a Republican as a teenager was because of a gentleman whose name was Haskell Jones. He was the manager at the Hope, Arkansas, radio station. And hen I was 14 years old, Haskell Jones gave me a job. He put his trust in me. I worked hard for him. I did my best to prove that I would be reliable. He, in turn, gave me unlimited opportunity, much like this country has given people like you and me unlimited opportunity.Haskell Jones was one of the few Republicans in Hope, Arkansas. There weren't many, and most people said there weren't any, except the ones who had either moved in or had been messed with. Well, Haskell had moved in. I got messed with. Messed with in the sense that I came to realize that it's about individual responsibility and that we are far better off as a nation when we understand that our strength is not who we are because of some group that we didn't have any choice about belonging to.

It's about what we do with our God-given freedom, and whether or not we stand on our own two feet, and whether we use the resources that are around us and make things happen, and whether we believe that in this country anything is possible with people who do their very best to remember that every right that we have has to be balanced with the responsibility to achieve and to be honest.Haskell Jones turned a radio station over to a kid. (Applause)And I want you to think about this. He gave me the key to a radio station at age 14.

And I would go and unlock it, do sports, weather, play records, all sorts of things. I look back, and I'm thinking I wouldn't give the keys to a 14-year-old to unlock a broom closet, much less operate a radio station.But he rubbed off on me in more ways than just giving me a job. He was the ultimate American patriot, a hard-core solid conservative and Republican, who believed that this country was worth fighting for, worth standing up for, and that the principles that made it great were the principles of faith, family, freedom.When I graduated high school, I was the first male in my entire family lineage to even do that. For me to go on to college meant working 40 hours a week in a radio station and carrying as many class hours as I could so I could get through in two and a half years rather than four, because I couldn't afford to stay there four. I don't tell you that because I want you to say, "Gosh, what a story." I want to tell you that because I want you to say, "Gosh, what a country."


8:55 EST: It looks like Huckabee is going to decisively win the Republican caucus... Fox News Channel has just called the Iowa Caucuses for Mike Huckabee... though Democrats are still unclear and will be for quite some time.

8:30 EST: If you go to Politico's homepage, they have a running tabulation of the Iowa precincts that have reported and the percent vote that each candidate has received... McCain is leading.

8:10 EST: CNN is broadcasting a live feed from one precinct of the Iowa caucus... I'm unsure if it is a Democrat or Republican caucus. But I do know that it is much better than watching Bill O'Reilly on Fox News. Wolf Blitzer is reporting that Obama and Clinton are close together with John Edwards lagging in the "Entrance Polls."

8:00 EST: Let the caucus-ing begin! Here's a video that seems like it debuted ages ago:
http://youtube.com/watch?v=cWvHbOoG3tI

7:49 EST: Earlier today on Fox News (2pm-3pm) Mike Huckabee was interviewed by Shepherd Smith and said that his campaign is in first place in South Carlina, Texas and Delaware. I'm not sure how accurate this is, and I'm trying to find polling that supports Huckabee's statements but if it is true that he is leading in Delaware than this is a huge loss for the Giuliani campaign - not so much because of the loss of Delaware's delegates, but because this could be a harbinger of things to come. Giuliani is the only Republican campaign active in Delaware, having a paid staffer and a long list public officials that have endorsed Giuliani.

7:11 EST: Less than an hour to go before the caucuses begin. Ed Rollins, Huckabee's campaign chair, delared that Huckabee will win Iowa and Obama's campaign is quiet but confident. This according to the Fox Report w/ Shepherd Smith.

I'll be blogging all night, feel free to leave comments, opinions, analysis, or questions.

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Programming Note

Gary is probably going to be liveblogging the Iowa Caucuses tonight. Stay tuned.

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2008 Watch: Sticker Shock

Well the mythological 2008 is finally upon us, though it feels like it has been 2008 for six months already, the way the campaigns are acting. I've been following 2008 since this month three years ago, and so I've found 2008 thus far to be, well, underwhelming.

Tonight, a bunch of Midwest types with emerge from their cornfields into local gathering places and make decisions that we've been trying to guess for ages. They'll be making these seemingly important choices that could sway the political winds and will help determine the outcome of something eleven months from now (no pressure, guys!). In all honesty, I kind of forgot.

Let me explain. We've been hearing about this campaign for ages, basically since Bush was reelected. Television pundits have been saying "What are Hilary's chances in '08?" for years. It was actually 2008 for most of 2007, and at particular moments of 2006. The year 2008 transcended time and became the only year longer than 365 days.

At some point, it seemed as though the year itself became significant, like a MacGuffin from a '30s movie serial. Asking "What's in store for us in 2008?" became akin to asking "What's in the briefcase in Pulp Fiction?" A potentially satisfying to have in discussion with friends either in person or on the Internet, but ultimately unsatisfying and pointless.

Now, however, in what feels like the middle act of some really long movie, it starts to matter. And here's the kicker: I've been talking about this thing for three years, and I haven't made up my mind! I'm undecided. It's probably what the Israelites felt like after reaching the Promised Land or Littlefoot after reaching the Great Valley in The Land Before Time, a severe case of "Now what?"

I really don't like John McCain, and I really don't like the RomneyTron 3000. I like Huckabee and Fred Thompson. I'm sympathetic to Giuliani, but where has he been lately (Ed.: Florida. He's banking on Feb. 5th)? There's a distinct possibility I'll vote for a Democrat in November, depending on who gets the respective nominations. At this point, bring it on.

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Wednesday, January 02, 2008

Pinstripe Politics: On the Eve of the Caucuses

Tomorrow marks the start and end of many things for many politicians. Some candidates will rise, some will fall, and the public will be one step closer to learning the identity of the 44th President of the United States of America.

They say that you'd have to be a fool to predict the outcome of the Iowa caucuses, and without regret, I'll be a fool. My Iowa caucus predictions are below, and I urge you to be a fool too and write your predictions in the 'comments' section.
http://caldems.com/photos/s07-edwards.jpg
Democrats:

Edwards 28%
Obama 26%
Clinton 25%
Richardson 12%
Biden 10%

http://www.angryconservative.com/home/Portals/0/Blog/mitt/mitt_romney_mormon.jpg
Republicans:

Romney 31%
Huckabee 29%
McCain 17%
Thompson 11%
Giuliani 8%
Paul 4%
Hunter 1%

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  • I'm Ryan S.
  • From University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, United States
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